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Using the data from the options markets to discover underlying interest rates, risk premiums, statistics, and psychological peculiarities of various market participants.
Link to a nice summary descriptor of bill durations at issuance:
[ if a better summary, send a DM / IM ]
https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/033115/what-are-differences-between-treasury-bond-and-treasury-note-and-treasury-bill-tbill.asp
1 / 31 / 2024 : 13 week spread to 10 year spread now at 1.325
submitted 11 months ago by Cancelthis from self.Options
It is beginning to look like there might be an even stronger speculative push into 20 and 30 year bonds.
The 10 year bonds are just a trace at this point.
[–]Cancelthis[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun - 11 months ago (0 children)
The cash flow seemed to have pushed down hard, with the expectation, of a long term pro - inflation push by OMO [ secondary effect of course] over next 2 - 3 years.
Strong speculative push into
Harmony
Barrick
Expect something similar into Exxon and Chevron and Chesapeake.
And Devon
However, it may not be as apparent at present just looking at activity.
Interesting how that matches to :
Meta
[–]Cancelthis[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun - (0 children)
[–]Cancelthis[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun - (0 children)
[–]Cancelthis[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun - (0 children)