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Using the data from the options markets to discover underlying interest rates, risk premiums, statistics, and psychological peculiarities of various market participants.
Link to a nice summary descriptor of bill durations at issuance:
[ if a better summary, send a DM / IM ]
https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/033115/what-are-differences-between-treasury-bond-and-treasury-note-and-treasury-bill-tbill.asp
2 / 15 / 2024 : 13 week to 10 year spread now at 0.98
submitted 11 months ago by Cancelthis from self.Options
Immediately following the renewed speculative lunges in last 48 hours, oil prices going back up.
How far ? Probably at least to 87 or 88 $
[–]Cancelthis[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun - 11 months ago (0 children)
All bets are going currently on oil and gas drilling.
However, the current bets are going on Bitcoin.
One then two.
Will post more of the specific speculative plunges by the running of the running of cash via the member banks.
[–]Cancelthis[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun - 11 months ago* (0 children)
As of mid to late AM
Less activity in oil and gas visible
So it may be that just peripheral speculative issues are active :
Nio
Rivian
Sofi
Cleanspark
Lucid
Robinhood
Coinbase
Ford
Some renewed speculation in the member bank issues :
May simply reflect continued OMO, plus unexpected movement of cash from Peking and Shanghain into the member banks and private banks.
[–]Cancelthis[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun - (0 children)
[–]Cancelthis[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun - (0 children)
[–]Cancelthis[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun - (0 children)