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Using the data from the options markets to discover underlying interest rates, risk premiums, statistics, and psychological peculiarities of various market participants.
Link to a nice summary descriptor of bill durations at issuance:
[ if a better summary, send a DM / IM ]
https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/033115/what-are-differences-between-treasury-bond-and-treasury-note-and-treasury-bill-tbill.asp
4 / 22 / 2024 : 13 week to 10 year spread now above 60 bp
submitted 9 months ago by Cancelthis from self.Options
[–]Cancelthis[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun - 9 months ago (0 children)
Now at .635 and climbing.
Expect even more speculative cash flows in to 10 year and 20 year and 30 year bonds in next 4 - 6 weeks.
Substantial outflow from bills and money markets - via repo cash, into :
Ford
Nio
Riot
Nvidia
Spread will likely move back another 34 bp higher.
At least over the next few months.
[–]Cancelthis[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun - (0 children)
[–]Cancelthis[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun - (0 children)
[–]Cancelthis[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun - (0 children)
[–]Cancelthis[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun - (0 children)