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Using the data from the options markets to discover underlying interest rates, risk premiums, statistics, and psychological peculiarities of various market participants.
Link to a nice summary descriptor of bill durations at issuance:
[ if a better summary, send a DM / IM ]
https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/033115/what-are-differences-between-treasury-bond-and-treasury-note-and-treasury-bill-tbill.asp
10 / 22 / 2024 --> Giant changes - 13 week to 10 year spread has had an earthquake - down to 28.8 bp
submitted 2 months ago by Cancelthis from self.Options
[–]Cancelthis[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun - 2 months ago (0 children)
Will demonstrate how this occurred.
13 week dropped by 75 bp
And 10 year increased by only 10 bp
So really, a 7.5 ratio.
Where does this fit on economic contraction.
It really depends on what specifically is contracting
At present the portions of the economy that are contracting are:
water utilities
education
Will provide some math updates in the next few weeks
And will create a new post about the math
[–]Cancelthis[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun - (0 children)