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Using the data from the options markets to discover underlying interest rates, risk premiums, statistics, and psychological peculiarities of various market participants.
Link to a nice summary descriptor of bill durations at issuance:
[ if a better summary, send a DM / IM ]
https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/033115/what-are-differences-between-treasury-bond-and-treasury-note-and-treasury-bill-tbill.asp
Follow data previously outlining inversions of 13 week to 10 year - has resolved now - will add the specifics . For the last set of increases in 10 year Treasury rate : 3.63 to 4.397 So up by 76.7 basis points
submitted 1 month ago by Cancelthis from self.Options
Follow data previously outlining inversions of 13 week to 10 year - has resolved now - will add the specifics .
9 / 16 / 2024 to 12 / 13 / 2024
For the last set of increases in 10 year Treasury rate : 3.63 to 4.397
So up by 76.7 basis points
[–]Cancelthis[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun - 1 month ago (0 children)
For those interested -
apparently peaked 10 / 16 / 2023
Since then the yield has been in a protracted bear market
No indication it will be escaping that bear market
Will probably cross post to Federal Reserve banks
A specific decision to shift the issuance 13 week to 30 year, then 10 year, then 5 year then 2 year is very in evidence
Supposed weak demand for 30 year and 10 year on 12 12 2024
Not weak demand - new shifts to increase in issuance volume.
[–]Cancelthis[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun - (0 children)
[–]Cancelthis[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun - (0 children)
[–]Cancelthis[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun - (0 children)
[–]Cancelthis[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun - (0 children)