https://agrilifetoday.tamu.edu/2022/01/12/report-analyzes-record-high-fertilizer-prices/
Fertilizer, food, and fuel prices were already high before the war and now they're skyrocketing.
https://mei.edu/publications/russia-ukraine-war-has-turned-egypts-food-crisis-existential-threat-economy
https://www.aljazeera.com/program/inside-story/2022/3/5/could-russias-invasion-of-ukraine-trigger-a-global-food-crisis
Russia and Ukraine combined produce 30% of the world's wheat. Russia is the world's largest wheat exporter and Ukraine is probably 3rd or 4th. Russia is restricting food exports due to the war and its own needs and Ukrainian shipments have stopped altogether. Russia and Ukraine together feed the entire middle east essentially. That's why the middle-eastern nations have been so reluctant to go against Russia.
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/russia-ukraine-war-puts-wheat-on-track-for-biggest-weekly-price-surge-since-at-least-1959-11646334541
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/2/17/infographic-russia-ukraine-and-the-global-wheat-supply-interactive
Russia is also the world's largest producer of fertilizer, accounting for nearly 13% of the world's total. It also accounts for a of global fertilizer exports. Russia has restricted fertilizer exports.
https://seekingalpha.com/news/3809682-russian-fertilizer-export-ban-in-context
Brazil, France, and the US are all major food exporters and are heavily dependent on fertilizer imports. With a big bite of the export supply gone, there's going to be a huge crunch and a collapse of food production.
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1278061/import-value-fertilizers-worldwide-by-country
https://www.reddit.com/r/Map_Porn/comments/cbxtrx/world_map_of_which_countries_import_export_on_net/
Spain is dependent on imports and it imports a lot of fertilizer. Europe is so far self-sufficient in food but its production is heavily dependent on fertilizer and oil imports from Russia.
http://www.politico.eu/article/eu-commission-warns-of-major-food-and-farming-impact-of-russia-ukraine-war/
70% of livestock feed comes from Russia.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russia_in_the_European_energy_sector#:~:text=According%20to%20Eurostat%2C%2030%25%20of,petroleum%20oils%20originated%20in%20Russia.
30% of EU oil and 39% of gas imports come from Russia. A Russian oil and gas embargo could crater their economies overnight. Contrary to liberal imbeciles, oil and gas are used for much more than vehicles.
Harvesters and tractors depend on oil. Urea fertilizer depends on gas. 50% of oil is used for petrochemicals. Without oil, you would have no polymers and very little medicine. Plus, the whole supply chain depends on oil-run heavy trucks and ships.
However, let's put aside the oil embargo for a moment. Even without it, oil prices are at a record high. Brent crude is selling at 118$ per barrel and experts warn that oil could hit 150$-200$ if the US puts a ban on Russian oil and gas imports.
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/industry/energy/oil-gas/global-oil-price-jumps-to-nearly-112-natural-gas-prices-reach-record-highs/videoshow/89986622.cms
The skyrocketing price of oil and gas alone will drive food prices to the roof and cripple not only European production but also American production as it becomes too expensive for farmers to stay in the agribusiness.
So, all in all, you really have a perfect storm in the making. If rising fertilizer and fuel costs coupled with food crunch wasn't enough, now you have various food-exporting countries enacting export bans.
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/small-biz/trade/exports/insights/food-protectionism-is-spreading-as-hungary-bans-grain-exports/articleshow/90009329.cms
Hungary banned all grain exports. Moldavia and Bulgaria are tightening restrictions on exports as well. Naturally, they want to feed their own first. These countries are all huge food exporters.
https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Datawatch/China-hoards-over-half-the-world-s-grain-pushing-up-global-prices
China meanwhile has hoarded half the world's wheat and driven prices to the sky.
The perfect storm is in the making. If there ever was a civilizational collapse moment in the cards, this is it. If there is a global famine, there will be coups, civil wars, and societal collapse in large parts of the third world. In Europe and America, the imported diversity is going to chimp out and cause mayhem as well.
The end of the liberal world order might be here. An age of protectionism, authoritarian governments, and nationalism might be on the horizon. Globalism can only thrive in an environment of free trade and rising prosperity. Not in one of mass starvation and export bans.
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