I think there will be some mutant form of COVID that develops that will be resistant to the vaccines. Everything will have to close down again because of it. Then people will say that if everyone had been vaccinated, then COVID would have been eradicated and this mutant form would have never developed. Then the narrative will be that unvaccinated people "ruined it for the rest of us", and this will emotionally prepare people to be supportive of a vaccine mandate.
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