Credit goes to wehrkatzer for writing this
12% of total genetic variation within humanity is between races:
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0049837
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.94.9.4516
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.3378/027.081.0621
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1086/302825
Only 12%? Thats not a lot right?! First of all, consider what 12% actually means. 12% means the average PER snp. 0% on one loci, in a 2 race category scheme, would mean 50/50 chance of being correct in predicting sombody's race. 12% would mean 62% chance of being correct. Only 62%? That's only small if you're ignorant of binomial probability. Use more than one loci, and the likelihood of success goes up. Plugging into a binomial probability calculator, with 2 loci, the chance of being more related to your own race is 38.44%, the chance of being equally related to both is 47.12%, and the chance of being less related to your own race is 14.44%. Using 4 loci, the probability of being more related to your own race is 51% instead of 38%. Using 10 loci, 68%, 100 loci = over 99.9%.
This is exactly what the cluster analyses show. Cluster analyses take a bunch of people and their genetic data, and split people into groups such that within group differences are minimized
and between group differences are maximized. Geography of origin, and the racial categories, correspond to best fit genetic cluster 99+% of the time:
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1086/368061
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-013-0242-0
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2164-8-68
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1002/humu.21366
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgen.0010070
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1086/427888
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1534/genetics.106.067355
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.3389/fgene.2013.00098
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1078311
Is 12% especially low for between group differences? The average difference between subspecies of various animals I've been able to find is even lower:
Jaguars, 6.5%:
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-294X.2001.01144.x
Canadian Lynx, 3.3%:
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1038/415520a
Asian dogs, 15.35%:
https://sci-hub.tw/https://doi.org/10.1093/jhered/92.5.398
African Buffalo, 5.9%:
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-294x.2000.01101.x
North American Coyote, 10.7%:
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordjournals.molbev.a040137
North American Wolverines, 7.6%:
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1644/1545-1542(2000)081%3C0186:GVOWGG%3E2.0.CO;2
Gray Wolves, 16.7%:
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordjournals.molbev.a040137
Humpback Whales, 12%:
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2013.3222
Plains Zebras, 11%:
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-294X.2008.03781.x
Kob Antelope, 11%:
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-294X.2007.03382.x
South West European Cow, 6.8%:
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1439-0388.2003.00384.x
Red Winged Black Bird, 0.9%:
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1023/B:BIGI.0000012142.96374.b6
Heterozygosity By Species:
Humans - .776, .70-.76, .698.
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordjournals.molbev.a025810
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.94.7.3100
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1038/368455a0
Chimpanzees - .63, .765
https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordjournals.molbev.a025810?subid1=20210105-0639-4770-bbd8-fc5887c2bd86
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-294x.2000.00852.x
South African Buffalo - .729
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-1795.1998.tb00015.x
Leopards - .58
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1046/j.0962-1083.2001.01350.x
Jaguars -.739
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-294X.2001.01144.x
Pumas - .52
https://doi.org/10.1093/jhered/91.3.186?subid1=20210105-0642-22c0-a9eb-aa28e7cfc95d
Canadian Lynx - .66
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1038/415520a
North American Brown Bears - .5275
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1523-1739.1998.96457.x
Scandinavian Brown Bears - .678
https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-294X.2001.01184.x
Coyotes - .629
https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1523-1739.1996.10020376.x
Gray Wolves - .574
https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1523-1739.1996.10020376.x
Domestic Dogs - .5085
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1523-1739.1996.10020376.x
African Wild Dogs - .643
https://doi.org/10.1046/j.0962-1083.2001.01302.x
North American Wolverines - .55
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-294X.2001.01222.x
Scandinavian Wolverines - .325
https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-294X.2001.01184.x
Elk - .395
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-294x.2000.01033.x
Bighorn Sheep - .6235
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/8524043/
Bonobos - .535
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-294x.2000.00852.x
Polar Bears - .68
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-294x.1999.00733.x
Australian Dingoes - .445
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1093/jhered/90.1.108
Table:
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1MgFL36_8XlvU8lUwDbb0JJhsr21MZ-UAnwh4OqDB2j8/edit?usp=sharing
Time of divergence for european moose-american moose: 165,000 years ago
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.92.10.4259
polar bears - brown bears: 152,000 years ago, but the adaptation only took 10,000-30,000 years. Look at a map of north america, there are rocky and appalachian mountains, but isn't even anything to separate north from south, yet climate is apparently all thats needed.
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0914266107
birds (3 pairs of subspecies) 95,000 years ago, 70,000 years ago, & 65,000 years ago.
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1525/cond.2011.110042
8 subspecies of tigers: 72,000 years ago:
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pbio.0020442
Eastern and western wood ducks: 34,000
https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-294X.2005.02618.x
2 lizard subspecies: 12,000
https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/4b09/5907c4eef7c941d1345a14d2516109d8f7f1.pdf
there doesn't seem to be anything here