Fertility rate by countries. The future are black. Number 1 to 31 are either African or majority black nations

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[–][deleted] 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (10 children)

You can't predict population growth from just fertility rates - you need to account for life expectancy. I'm guessing if you adjusted for life expectancy you're prediction would look a whole lot different, because there aren't that many Africans, and the fertility rate being high isn't a new thing there

[–][deleted]  (2 children)

[deleted]

    [–][deleted] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (1 child)

    Heres what the UN has, they take into account fertility, mortality and migration

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Projections_of_population_growth#Most_populous_nations_by_2050_and_2100

    [–]hfxB0oyA 2 insightful - 2 fun2 insightful - 1 fun3 insightful - 2 fun -  (3 children)

    there aren't that many Africans

    I mean, if you consider 1.4 Billion to be "not that many"...

    [–][deleted] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (2 children)

    I mean, if you consider 1.4 Billion to be "not that many"...

    Relatively. Thats an entire continent. India and China have that many people in a just one country despite having lower birthrates, and those countries are nowhere near the size of Africa

    [–]hfxB0oyA 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (1 child)

    True, but I was surprised to find that Africa is the second most populated continent.

    [–][deleted] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

    Its higher than I thought as well, I didn't think Africa was developed enough to achieve that population density

    [–][deleted]  (2 children)

    [deleted]

      [–][deleted] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (1 child)

      Even with the growth, India and China are still projected #1 and #2 even by 2100

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Projections_of_population_growth#Most_populous_nations_by_2050_and_2100

      [–]hfxB0oyA 1 insightful - 2 fun1 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 2 fun -  (0 children)

      Looking at the map, I so badly wanted the highest birth rate country to be Chad. 😄

      [–]JewsAreOfColor 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

      Zip-a-dee-doo-dah!