all 5 comments

[–]magnora7 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (4 children)

fivethirtyeight says 1/8 chance the GOP retains the House.

I guess we'll see soon...

[–]magnora7 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (3 children)

It dipped down to 1/12 chance, and now it has changed to 1/2 chance... Seems the GOP is doing better than fivethirtyeight expected, just like the 2016 election. They have an in-built liberal bias in their predictions it seems.

Right now the house is a coin flip, pretty exciting I guess.

[–]magnora7 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (2 children)

Now 60% for GOP to win... just keeps sliding in favor of the GOP more and more to win the house. And the Senate is definitely going Republican.

[–]magnora7 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (1 child)

Now 60% for Dems to win... it's a pretty volatile model it seems

[–]useless_aether[S] 2 insightful - 2 fun2 insightful - 1 fun3 insightful - 2 fun -  (0 children)

its probably based on software the ipcc uses to predict climate change :-)